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In terms of recovery, China is way ahead of India as they have 94.3 per cent of recovery rate. Representative Photo: iStock

How does India’s COVID-19 trajectory compare with China?

China crossed the 80,000-mark in 41 days since January 22, and had reported 80,136 cases as on March 2. However, India took 53 days to cross the same mark.


India on Saturday (May 16) surpassed China in terms of total COVID-19 cases with an addition of almost 4,000 cases in a day. With 85,940 cases in total, India has now become the biggest hotspot of the virus in Asia.

China had 84,038 COVID-19 cases as on May 16, according to John Hopkins COVID tracker. Though China still has a few hundred active cases, the country has surpassed the peak of the curve long ago.

In this article, The Federal takes a look at how the trajectory of India and China compare with each other.

According to official data, China had 522 cases as on January 22, when the country started releasing its official figures. Meanwhile, India reported its first three cases of COVID-19 on January 30, but the tally remained unchanged until March 3, when with two more infections, the cases began to shoot upwards.

China flattened the curve after crossing the 80,000-mark while that of India is still surging steeply.

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The neighbouring country crossed the 80,000-mark in 41 days since January 22, and had reported 80,136 cases as on March 2. However, India took 53 days to cross the same mark. But China had managed to reduce the number of daily cases as soon as it had reached the 80,000-mark. However, India hasn’t been able to flatten the curve even today.

Currently, China has 84,038 cases while it has reported only 3,902 cases in the last 76 days. India has constantly been reporting more than three thousand cases every day for the last 10 days. The highest number of cases reported in India was 4,213 on May 11 while China had its highest single-day spike on February 12, with 14,108 new cases in 24 hours.

Interestingly, both the countries had resorted to strict lockdowns to curb the spread of the disease. But the actual impact on the ground wasn’t the same, suggests data.

Meanwhile, India has a relatively lower death rate than in China. India reported a total of 2,752 deaths as on May 16, and the death rate currently stands at 3.2 per cent. China, on the other hand, after a revision of its death toll, has posted a death rate of 5.6 per cent with 4,633 deaths.

In terms of recovery, China is way ahead of India as they have 94.3 per cent of recovery rate. In India, 35.1 per cent of patients have recovered. The huge difference can be attributed to the lag of 14 days, the time taken for the recovery, as India is still reporting fresh cases. However, the country has seen a constant rise in the recovery rate for over the last five weeks.

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