Last month was hottest June ever recorded on Earth, say US meteorologists
Last month was the hottest June on record going back 174 years, according to independent analysis by scientists including those from NASA and NOAA.
US meteorologists on Thursday (July 13) said the Earth witnessed the hottest June with a temperature 1.05 degrees Celsius above the 20th Century average. According to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), an already warming Earth steamed to its hottest June on record, smashing the old global mark by nearly a quarter of a degree (0.13 degrees Celsius), with global oceans setting temperature records for the third straight month this year. Juneās 61.79 degrees (16.55 degrees Celsius) global average was 1.89 degrees (1.05 degrees Celsius) above the 20th Century average, the first time globally a summer month was more than a degree Celsius hotter than normal, NOAA.
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Considerable jump
Other weather monitoring systems, such as NASA, Berkeley Earth and Europeās Copernicus, had already called last month the hottest June on record, but NOAA is the gold standard for record-keeping with data going back 174 years to 1850. The increase over the last Juneās record is a considerably big jump because usually global monthly records are so broad based that they often jump by hundredths not quarters of a degree, NOAA climate scientist Ahira Sanchez-Lugo said in Washington.
āThe recent record temperatures, as well as extreme fires, pollution and flooding we are seeing this year are what we expect to see in a warmer climate,ā said Cornell University climate scientist Natalie Mahowald. We are just getting a small taste for the types of impacts that we expect to worsen under climate change, the scientist added.
Both land and ocean were the hottest a June has seen. But the globeās sea surface, which is 70 per cent of Earthās area has set monthly high temperature records in April, May and June and the North Atlantic has been off the charts warm since mid-March, scientists say. The Caribbean region smashed previous records as did the United Kingdom.
First half of 2023 third hottest
The first half of 2023 has been the third hottest January through June on record, behind 2016 and 2020, according to NOAA.Ā NOAA says that thereās a 20 per cent chance that 2023 will be the hottest year on record, with next year more likely, but the chance of a record is growing. Scientists such as Brown Universityās Kim Cobb are predicting a photo finish with 2016 and 2020 for the hottest year on record. Berkeley Earthās Robert Rohde said that his group figures thereās an 80 per cent chance that 2023 will end up the hottest year on record.
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Thatās because itās likely only to get hotter. July is usually the hottest month of the year, and the record for July and the hottest month of any year is 62.08 degrees (16.71 degrees Celsius) set in both July 2019 and July 2021. Eleven of the first dozen days in July were hotter than ever on record, according to an unofficial and preliminary analysis by University of Maineās Climate Reanalyzer.
The Japanese Meteorological Agency and the World Meteorological Organisation said that the world has just gone through its hottest week on record.
NOAA recorded water temperatures around Florida of 98 degrees (36.7 degrees Celsius) on Wednesday near the Everglades and 97 degrees (36.1 degrees Celsius) on Tuesday near the Florida Keys, while some forecasters are predicting near world-record-level temperatures in Death Valley of around 130 degrees (54.4 degrees Celsius) this weekend.
Long-term warming to blame
NOAA global analysis chief Russ Vose said the record hot June is because of two main reasons: long-term warming caused by heat-trapping gases spewed by the burning of coal, oil and natural gas thatās then boosted by a natural El Nino, which warms parts of the Pacific and changes weather worldwide adding extra heat to already rising global temperatures. He said itās likely most of Juneās warming is due to long-term human causes because so far this new El Nino is still considered weak to moderate. Itās forecast to peak in the winter, which is why NOAA and other forecasters predict 2024 to be even hotter than this year.
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While El Nino and its cooling flip side, La Nina āhave a big impact on year-to-year temperatures, their effects are much smaller over the long run than human-caused warmingā, said climate scientist Zeke Hausfather of Berkeley Earth and the tech company Stripe.
Back in 1998, the world had a super El Nino event with record global temperatures; today the temperatures of 1998 would be an unusually cool year. Human-driven climate change adds a permanent super El Nino worth of heat to the atmosphere every decade. Global and Antarctic sea ice levels were at record low in June, NOAA also said.
āUntil we stop burning fossil fuels, this will only get worse,ā climate scientist Friederike Otto of the Imperial College of London said in an email. āHeat records will keep getting broken, people and ecosystems are already in many cases beyond what they are able to deal with,ā Otto added.
(With agency inputs)