Explainer & timeline: How potent is Afghanistan's Islamic State?

The Thursday (August 26) suicide attack outside Kabul airport in Afghanistan brings the focus back on the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS), also known as the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria. The ISIS believes in return to the “true and original” tenets of Islam and its adherents are expected to follow the Salafi-Jihadist doctrine. The ISIS aims at building an Islamist caliphate across the world and wages a war against all ‘non-believers.’

ISIS-K

The Islamic State offshoot that Americans blame for Thursday’s deadly suicide attacks outside the Kabul airport, the ISIS-K, coalesced in eastern Afghanistan six years ago, and rapidly grew into one of the more dangerous terror threats globally.

Also read: Suicide strike outside Kabul airport kills 60; ISIS claims responsibility

Despite years of military targeting by the US-led coalition, the group known as Islamic State Khorasan (ISIS-K) has survived to press more assaults as the United States and other NATO partners withdraw from Afghanistan, and as the Taliban return to power.

President Joe Biden cited the threat of Islamic State attacks in sticking with a Tuesday deadline for pulling US forces out of Afghanistan. US General Frank McKenzie told a Pentagon news conference that officials believe fighters with Islamic State carried out Thursdays attacks, including a bomber believed to have slipped into the Afghan crowds outside airport gates controlled by US service members.

The group has built a record of highly lethal attacks in the face of its own heavy losses. A look at a deadly group influencing the course of the Kabul airlifts and US actions:

What is ISIS-K 

The Islamic State’s Central Asia affiliate sprang up in the months after the groups core fighters swept across Syria and Iraq, carving out a self-styled caliphate, or Islamic empire, in the summer of 2014. In Syria and Iraq, it took local and international forces five years of subsequent fighting to roll back the caliphate.

See video: Explosion rocks Kabul airport

The Afghanistan affiliate takes its name from the Khorasan Province, a region that covered much of Afghanistan, Iran and central Asia in the Middle Ages. The group is also known as ISK or ISIS-K.

Who are the fighters

The group started as several hundred Pakistani Taliban fighters, who took refuge across the border in Afghanistan after military operations drove them out of their home country. Other, like-minded extremists joined them there, including disgruntled Afghan Taliban fighters unhappy with what they unlike the West saw as the Taliban’s overly moderate and peaceful ways.

As the Taliban pursued peace talks with the United States in recent years, discontented Taliban increasingly moved to the more extremist Islamic State, swelling its numbers. Most were frustrated that the Taliban was pursuing negotiations with the US at a time when they thought the movement was on the march to a military win.

The group also has attracted a significant cadre from the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, from a neighbouring country; fighters from Iran’s only Sunni Muslim majority province; and members of the Turkistan Islamic Party comprising Uighurs from China’s northeast.
Many were attracted to the Islamic State’s violent and extreme ideology, including promises of a caliphate to unite the Islamic world, a goal never espoused by the Taliban.

Threat factor 

While the Taliban have confined their struggle to Afghanistan, the Islamic State group in Afghanistan and Pakistan has embraced the Islamic State’s call for a worldwide jihad against non-Muslims.

The Centre for International and Strategic Studies counts dozens of attacks that Islamic State fighters have launched against civilians in Afghanistan and Pakistan, including minority Shiite Muslims, as well as hundreds of clashes with Afghan, Pakistani and US-led coalition forces since January 2017.

The US government believes it represents a chronic threat to US and allied interests in South and Central Asia.

ISIS-K’s links with Taliban

They are enemies. While intelligence officials believe al-Qaida fighters are integrated among the Taliban, the Taliban, by contrast, have waged major, coordinated offensives against the Islamic State group in Afghanistan.

See video: Taliban’s elite commando unit ‘Badri 313’

Taliban insurgents, at times, joined with both the US and US-backed Afghan government forces to rout the Islamic State from parts of Afghanistan’s northeast.

A US Defence Department official, speaking to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because he was working covertly, said previously that the Trump administration had sought its 2020 withdrawal deal with the Taliban partly in hopes of joining forces with them against the Islamic State affiliate. The administration saw that group as the real threat to the American homeland.

Present risk 

Even when the United States had combat troops, aircraft and armed drones stationed on the ground in Afghanistan to monitor and strike the Islamic State, IS militants were able to keep up attacks despite suffering thousands of casualties, Amira Jadoon and Andrew Mines note in a report for West Points Combating Terrorism Centre.

Also read: Taliban had it easy so far, now comes the real challenge

The withdrawal is depriving the United States of its on-the-ground strike capacity in Afghanistan, and threatens to weaken its ability to track the Islamic State and its attack planning as well. Biden officials say the Islamic State group is only one of many terror threats it is dealing with globally. They insist they can manage it with so-called over-the-horizon military and intelligence assets, based in Gulf states, on aircraft carriers, or other more distant sites.

One of the United States’ greatest fears about pulling out its combat forces after two decades is that Afghanistan under Taliban rule again becomes a magnet and base for extremists plotting attacks on the West.

That threat, US national security adviser Jake Sullivan told CNN last weekend, was something were focused on, with every tool in our arsenal.”

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(With inputs from AP)